Lumber and pulp markets show fragile stabilization
Recent results from forest products producers suggest that lumber and pulp markets remain under pressure but are beginning to show early signs of stabilization.
North American lumber markets remained difficult through the final quarter of 2025. Elevated U.S. countervailing and anti-dumping duties continued to weigh on exports, while a 10% tariff introduced under Section 232 in October added further uncertainty for Canadian producers.
Demand conditions also softened across offshore markets. China’s prolonged housing downturn continued to suppress lumber consumption, while Japan saw weaker demand linked to declining housing starts. In Europe, high log costs and constrained spruce supply limited purchasing activity despite seasonal inventory restocking.
However, supply conditions began to tighten late in the quarter. Industry-wide sawmill curtailments announced in mid-December, combined with already low inventories, helped support modest gains in benchmark lumber prices as observed late in the fourth quarter.
These improvements have carried into early 2026, although market participants remain cautious amid ongoing economic uncertainty and unresolved trade tensions between Canada and the United States.
Pulp markets showed a similar pattern of weakness followed by tentative stabilization.