AAA Daily Fuel Gauge Report for Friday, 12/10/21

Earlier this month we lost a paper industry legend and a dear friend to many.  This is a close-knit business we find ourselves in and the relationships we build stand the test of time.  And so, it was with Tom Gallagher. Affectionately known as Moose to his friends, Tom was born in Portsmouth, Ohio in 1947. He left us on July 5 at the age of 77.  He lived his live to the fullest and those who knew him can attest to that.  Tom attended the U.S. Naval Academy and graduated from The Ohio State University in 1977.  He remained a lifelong and loyal Buckeye.  Many of us got to know Tom as the sales leader at MEAD during the 80’s and 90’s where he spent a majority of his career.  After retiring from Mead Westvaco in 2003 he was recruited to work for the  West Linn Paper Company and subsequently finished his paper career at Port Hawkesbury.   Tom was larger than life in so many ways.  He filled a room with laughter and energy.  You would not find a more loyal friend and partner.  But you did not want to test his Irish temper.  He encountered physical challenges later in life and it never got him down.  His spirit prevailed and he was always ready for the call.  As the Irish say, “his likes will not be seen again”.  And so, we leave him to the rest of his journey and cherish the memories he created with us. Tom had 4 children and 9 grandchildren.  He was preceded in death by his wife of 55 years, Cheryl (Rice) Gallagher.  Safe home Tom Gallagher.

Growth in the U.S. economy boomed in 2018, slowed in 2019, and turned south in 2020 when COVID-19 started to spread widely in March. In 2019, trucks shipped 72.5% of all domestic tonnage, including an increase of 366 million tons over 2018. Also, across the northern and southern borders, trucks moved three-quarters of the value of trade between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. Compared with previous recessions, trucking fared far better than the overall economy as the recession in the first half of 2020 was concentrated in the much less freight intensive, services sector. At the start of 2020, the U.S. remained in the longest economic expansion on record with the unemployment rate at 50-year lows. In the three primary categories of freight—retail, manufacturing, and housing construction—only manufacturing was struggling from an industry-specific recession in 2019. In January, retail sales notched a record high, and construction on new homes surged to its highest level in over a decade, according to the Census Bureau. Even manufacturing showed signs that it bottomed out in 2019, as the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index reported an expanding manufacturing sector in January and February after 5 months of contraction.

When the price of diesel goes up, the cost of everything else follows. Peak travel season is upon us and gasoline prices continue to soar. Americans are rightfully concerned as the cost of filling up their tank keeps going up at the pump. And while most may not pay as much thought to the price of diesel, the reality is that number weighs even heavier on their pocketbooks. Virtually every good you can think of travels by truck before it’s in your reach. And today’s trucks, by and large, run on diesel. The price of diesel is baked into the price of everything else, gasoline included. Right now, motor carriers are getting slammed by nightmarish surges in the price of diesel. It’s especially hard on smaller fleets, which don’t operate at a scale to negotiate rates down or lock prices into a contract. These small businesses account for 97% of trucking companies in the U.S., running 20 trucks or fewer.